The total goals betting market has several subcategories, and this guide assesses the over 1.5 goals meaning. It’s a popular bet among punters because it has a high win percentage; however, does that equate to betting value? You’re about to find out.
What Is The Over 1.5 Goals Meaning In Betting?
The over/under meaning in betting is an easy concept to understand. It is used on multiple markets, such as corners and cards.
However, the most popular over/under is total goals. The other side of the over-market is the under 1.5 goals meaning, so let’s explain them together.
- Over 1.5 goals bets lose if the soccer match finishes with fewer than 1.5 scored, such as 0-0, 1-0, or 0-1.
- Over 1.5 goals bets win if the match finishes with more than 1.5 goals scored; for example, 1-1, 2-0, 0-2, 2-1, 1-2, 2-2, 3-1, and so on.
The opposite is true for under 1.5 goals.
- Under 1.5 goals bet lose if the match finishes with more than 1.5 goals.
- Under 1.5 goals bets win if the match finishes with fewer than 1.5 goals.
Over 1.5 Goals Bet Examples
Here’s an example of over 1.5 goals from a real match. I’m using the English Premier League game between Fulham and Tottenham Hotspur.
| U/O 1.5 Goals | Under 1.5 Goals | Over 1.5 Goals |
|---|---|---|
| Odds | 4.44 | 1.175 |
| Implied Probability | 22.25% | 85.10% |
According to these prices, the bookmaker’s implied probability of the over 1.5 goals bet winning is 85.10%. Based on results this season, 90% of Fulham’s home matches and 90% of Tottenham’s away matches have finished with more than 1.5 goals.
Using this information, this bet – despite the low odds – has good value because it should win 90% of the time compared to the bookmaker’s probability of 85%.
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Over 1.5 Goals And Double Chance
Over 1.5 total goals is not a bet on one team or the other. It does not matter what the match result is – a home win, draw, or away win.
All you need to win the bet is for more than 1.5 goals to be scored.
An option if you want to bet on particular teams is to learn about double chance meaning in betting. This is a wager on two of the three possible match result outcomes.
For instance, you could bet on:
- Fulham win or draw
- Fulham win or Tottenham win
- Draw or Tottenham win
Here’s the number of goals is not relevant. All that is important is the result. Therefore, it’s a totally different market to over 1.5 goals, but still as exciting.
Over 1.5 Goals Betting Review
All betting markets have their pros and cons that you should consider before placing your wagers.
Pros
One of the main advantages of this market is that bettors typically win considerably more bets than they lose. However, as highlighted above, the odds still need to be favourable for the wager to have value.
Due to the low prices but high win probability, over 1.5 goals is an excellent bet for punters who like building accumulators. These bets dramatically improve the payouts but you can still keep the stake amount the same.
Cons
With an understanding of the over 1.5 goals meaning, you’ll know that there are a few disadvantages.
The low odds mean small payouts on single bets. Therefore, you are risking a lot to win a little. This style of betting is not for everyone.
Also, the bookmaker’s margins for this market tend to be 7% or higher. This is beneficial to the betting company over the long term and it means the prices don’t reflect the true odds.
That doesn’t mean there isn’t value in this market. As shown above, there often is, but you need to check the stats before betting. The advantage could be on the under 1.5 goals side, instead.
